Reviews"An excellent introduction to subjects critical to all data scientists." --Inside Big Data "The author uses great examples to clarify key concepts . . . I would highly recommend as a supplement for any stats student or professional looking to refresh on Bayesian statistics." --Stan T., Design Collective
Dewey Edition23
SynopsisBayesian Statistics the Fun Way gets you understanding the theory behind data analysis without making you slog through a load of dry concepts first - with no programming experience necessary. You'll learn about probability with LEGO, statistics through Star Wars, distributions with bomb fuses, estimation through precipitation, and come away with some strong mathematical reasoning skills. This is a super approachable book for people who need to do data science and probability work in their lives, but never got a good grip on the underlying theory., With any given problem, traditional statistical analysis often just generates another pile of data. But how do you make real-world sense of these cold, hard numbers? Bayesian Statistics the Fun Way shows you how to make better probabilistic decisions using your natural intuition and some simple math. This accessible primer shows you how to apply Bayesian methods through clear explanations and fun examples. You'll go UFO hunting to explore everyday reasoning, calculate whether Han Solo will survive an asteroid field using probability distributions, and quantify the probability that you have a serious brain tumor and not just too much ear wax. These eclectic exercises will help you build a flexible and robust framework for working through a wide range of challenges, from truly grokking current events to handling the daily surprises of the business world. You'll learn how to: Calculate distributions to see the range of your beliefs, Compare hypotheses and draw reliable conclusions, Calculate Bayes' theorem and understand what it's useful for, Find the posterior, likelihood, and prior to check the accuracy of your conclusions, Use the R programming language to perform data analysis, Make better choices with more confidence-and enjoy doing it! Crack open Bayesian Statistics the Fun Way to get the most value from your data. Book jacket., Fun guide to learning Bayesian statistics and probability through unusual and illustrative examples. Probability and statistics are increasingly important in a huge range of professions. But many people use data in ways they don't even understand, meaning they aren't getting the most from it. Bayesian Statistics the Fun Way will change that. This book will give you a complete understanding of Bayesian statistics through simple explanations and un-boring examples. Find out the probability of UFOs landing in your garden, how likely Han Solo is to survive a flight through an asteroid shower, how to win an argument about conspiracy theories, and whether a burglary really was a burglary, to name a few examples. By using these off-the-beaten-track examples, the author actually makes learning statistics fun. And you'll learn real skills, like how to: - How to measure your own level of uncertainty in a conclusion or belief - Calculate Bayes theorem and understand what it's useful for - Find the posterior, likelihood, and prior to check the accuracy of your conclusions - Calculate distributions to see the range of your data - Compare hypotheses and draw reliable conclusions from them Next time you find yourself with a sheaf of survey results and no idea what to do with them, turn to Bayesian Statistics the Fun Way to get the most value from your data., A fun guide to learning Bayesian statistics and probability through unusual and illustrative examples.
LC Classification NumberQA279.5.K87 2019