Picture 1 of 1
ENDED
Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
Condition:
Price:
US $12.37
ApproximatelyS$ 16.66
Postage:
Located in: Carlstadt, New Jersey, United States
Delivery:
Estimated between Sat, 25 May and Tue, 28 May to 43230
Returns:
Coverage:
Read item description or contact seller for details. See all detailsSee all details on coverage
(Not eligible for eBay purchase protection programmes)
Seller information
- 98.9% positive feedback
Registered as a Business Seller
Seller assumes all responsibility for this listing.
eBay item number:296372943542
Item specifics
- Condition
- Release Year
- 2018
- ISBN
- 9780735216358
- Book Title
- Thinking in Bets : Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
- Item Length
- 8.5in
- Publisher
- Penguin Publishing Group
- Publication Year
- 2018
- Format
- Hardcover
- Language
- English
- Item Height
- 1in
- Genre
- Education, Psychology, Business & Economics
- Topic
- Industrial Management, Decision-Making & Problem Solving, Cognitive Psychology & Cognition, Strategic Planning
- Item Width
- 5.7in
- Item Weight
- 14.3 Oz
- Number of Pages
- 288 Pages
About this product
Product Information
Poker champion turned business consultant Annie Duke teaches you how to get comfortable with uncertainty and make better decisions as a result. In Super Bowl XLIX, Seahawks coach Pete Carroll made one of the most controversial calls in football history: With 26 seconds remaining, and trailing by four at the Patriots' one-yard line, he called for a pass instead of a hand off to his star running back. The pass was intercepted and the Seahawks lost. Critics called it the dumbest play in history. But was the call really that bad? Or did Carroll actually make a great move that was ruined by bad luck? Even the best decision doesn't yield the best outcome every time. There's always an element of luck that you can't control, and there is always information that is hidden from view. So the key to long-term success (and avoiding worrying yourself to death) is to think in bets: How sure am I? What are the possible ways things could turn out? What decision has the highest odds of success? Did I land in the unlucky 10% on the strategy that works 90% of the time? Or is my success attributable to dumb luck rather than great decision making? Annie Duke, a former World Series of Poker champion turned business consultant, draws on examples from business, sports, politics, and (of course) poker to share tools anyone can use to embrace uncertainty and make better decisions. For most people, it's difficult to say "I'm not sure" in a world that values and, even, rewards the appearance of certainty. But professional poker players are comfortable with the fact that great decisions don't always lead to great outcomes and bad decisions don't always lead to bad outcomes. By shifting your thinking from a need for certainty to a goal of accurately assessing what you know and what you don't, you'll be less vulnerable to reactive emotions, knee-jerk biases, and destructive habits in your decision making. You'll become more confident, calm, compassionate and successful in the long run.
Product Identifiers
Publisher
Penguin Publishing Group
ISBN-10
0735216355
ISBN-13
9780735216358
eBay Product ID (ePID)
239667252
Product Key Features
Book Title
Thinking in Bets : Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
Format
Hardcover
Language
English
Topic
Industrial Management, Decision-Making & Problem Solving, Cognitive Psychology & Cognition, Strategic Planning
Publication Year
2018
Genre
Education, Psychology, Business & Economics
Number of Pages
288 Pages
Dimensions
Item Length
8.5in
Item Height
1in
Item Width
5.7in
Item Weight
14.3 Oz
Additional Product Features
Lc Classification Number
Hd30.6.D85 2018
Reviews
"An elegant fusion of poker-table street-smarts and cognitive science insights. This book will make you both a shrewder and wiser player in the game of life." -- Philip E. Tetlock, author of Superforecasting "Thinking in Bets offers a compelling, and eminently useful, new way to think about life's decisions. Annie Duke has written an important, and often hilarious, book that will help you understand your own shortcomings--and make smarter choices as a result. You can bet on it." --Maria Konnikova, author of The Confidence Game and Mastermind "The insights Duke offers in this book are incredibly helpful when we contemplate decisions in the face of multiple possible outcomes, and that renders her book enormously applicable to the world of investing." - Howard Marks, co-chairman, Oaktree Capital Management and author of The Most Important Thing "Through wonderful storytelling and sly wit, Annie Duke has crafted the ultimate guide to thinking about risk. We can all learn how to make better decisions by learning from someone who made choices for a living, with millions on the line." -- Charles Duhigg, author of The Power of Habit and Smarter Faster Better "Brilliant. Buy ten copies and give one to everyone you work with. It's that good." --Seth Godin, author of The Icarus Deception "A mind-bending and indispensable book for entrepreneurs, leaders, and anyone who faces risk on a regular basis." -Olivia Fox Cabane, author of The Net and the Butterfly, "An elegant fusion of poker-table street-smarts and cognitive science insights. This book will make you both a shrewder and wiser player in the game of life." -- Philip E. Tetlock, author of Superforecasting "Thinking in Bets offers a compelling, and eminently useful, new way to think about life's decisions. Annie Duke has written an important, and often hilarious, book that will help you understand your own shortcomings--and make smarter choices as a result. You can bet on it." --Maria Konnikova, author of The Confidence Game and Mastermind "The insights Duke offers in this book are incredibly helpful when we contemplate decisions in the face of multiple possible outcomes, and that renders her book enormously applicable to the world of investing." - Howard Marks, co-chairman, Oaktree Capital Management and author of The Most Important Thing "Through wonderful storytelling and sly wit, Annie Duke has crafted the ultimate guide to thinking about risk. We can all learn how to make better decisions by learning from someone who made choices for a living, with millions on the line." -- Charles Duhigg, author of The Power of Habit and Smarter Faster Better "Brilliant. Buy ten copies and give one to everyone you work with. It's that good." --Seth Godin, author of The Icarus Deception "A mind-bending and indispensable book for entrepreneurs, leaders, and anyone who faces risk on a regular basis." -Olivia Fox Cabane, author of The Net and the Butterfly "A highly-readable balance between memorable, real-world analogies and hardcore behavioral science studies... The book is packed with insights." - John Greathouse, Forbes, A mind-bending and indispensable book for entrepreneurs, leaders, and anyone who faces risk on a regular basis.
Copyright Date
2018
Lccn
2017-042666
Dewey Decimal
658.40353
Intended Audience
Trade
Dewey Edition
23
Illustrated
Yes
Item description from the seller
Seller assumes all responsibility for this listing.
eBay item number:296372943542
Postage and handling
Item location:
Carlstadt, New Jersey, United States
Post to:
Afghanistan, Albania, Algeria, Andorra, Angola, Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Argentina, Armenia, Aruba, Australia, Austria, Azerbaijan Republic, Bahamas, Bahrain, Bangladesh, Belgium, Belize, Benin, Bermuda, Bhutan, Bolivia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Botswana, Brazil, Brunei Darussalam, Bulgaria, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cambodia, Cameroon, Canada, Cape Verde Islands, Cayman Islands, Central African Republic, Chad, Chile, China, Colombia, Costa Rica, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Côte d'Ivoire (Ivory Coast), Democratic Republic of the Congo, Denmark, Djibouti, Dominican Republic, Ecuador, Egypt, El Salvador, Equatorial Guinea, Eritrea, Estonia, Ethiopia, Fiji, Finland, France, Gabon Republic, Gambia, Georgia, Germany, Ghana, Gibraltar, Greece, Greenland, Grenada, Guatemala, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Guyana, Haiti, Honduras, Hong Kong, Hungary, Iceland, India, Indonesia, Ireland, Israel, Italy, Jamaica, Japan, Jordan, Kazakhstan, Kenya, Kiribati, Kuwait, Kyrgyzstan, Laos, Latvia, Lebanon, Lesotho, Liberia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Macau, Macedonia, Madagascar, Malawi, Malaysia, Maldives, Mali, Malta, Mauritania, Mauritius, Mexico, Moldova, Monaco, Mongolia, Montenegro, Montserrat, Morocco, Mozambique, Namibia, Nauru, Nepal, Netherlands, New Zealand, Nicaragua, Niger, Nigeria, Norway, Oman, Pakistan, Panama, Papua New Guinea, Paraguay, Peru, Philippines, Poland, Portugal, Qatar, Republic of Croatia, Republic of the Congo, Romania, Rwanda, Saint Kitts-Nevis, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, San Marino, Saudi Arabia, Senegal, Serbia, Seychelles, Sierra Leone, Singapore, Slovakia, Slovenia, Solomon Islands, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sri Lanka, Suriname, Swaziland, Sweden, Switzerland, Taiwan, Tajikistan, Tanzania, Thailand, Togo, Tonga, Trinidad and Tobago, Tunisia, Turkey, Turkmenistan, Turks and Caicos Islands, Uganda, United Arab Emirates, United Kingdom, United States, Uruguay, Uzbekistan, Vanuatu, Vatican City State, Vietnam, Wallis and Futuna, Western Samoa, Yemen, Zambia, Zimbabwe
Excludes:
APO/FPO, Barbados, French Guiana, French Polynesia, Guadeloupe, Libya, Martinique, New Caledonia, Reunion, Russian Federation, US Protectorates, Ukraine, Venezuela
| Postage and handling | To | Service | Delivery*See Delivery notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Free postage | United States | Standard Shipping | Estimated between Sat, 25 May and Tue, 28 May to 43230 |
| US $8.99 (approx S$ 12.11) | United States | Expedited Shipping | Estimated between Fri, 24 May and Thu, 30 May to 43230 |
| Handling time |
|---|
| Will usually post within 2 business days of receiving cleared payment. |
| Taxes |
|---|
| Taxes may be applicable at checkout. Learn moreLearn more about paying tax on eBay purchases. |
Sales Tax for an item #296372943542
Sales Tax for an item #296372943542
Seller collects sales tax for items shipped to the following states:
| State | Sales Tax Rate |
|---|
Return policy
| After receiving the item, contact seller within | Refund will be given as |
|---|---|
| 30 days after the buyer receives it | Money Back |
The buyer is responsible for return postage costs.
Seller feedback (111,621)
m***m (62)- Feedback left by buyer.
Past month
Verified purchase
Book arrived in good condition and quickly. Would recommend seller.
r***v (702)- Feedback left by buyer.
Past month
Verified purchase
Good Service
e***s (1196)- Feedback left by buyer.
Past month
Verified purchase
Grrrrreeeeeaaaat. TY